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Pitch

The real scientific reasons to expect human caused global warming has been ignored. Energy balance for earth needs to be clarified.


Description

Summary

Educate all (including self) about the scientific reasons for human caused global warming.

Solar energy from the sun is almost all energy input to earth. With 30 % reflection to space (70 % absorbed), the average earth equilibrium temperature using the assumption that the earth is perfect radiation (black) body is 254 Kelvin (-19 C), about  33 K below the actual average earth temperature of 287 K. The effective earth radiation coefficient is much less than 100 %. The actual 287 K temperature is corresponding to effective radiation factor of 63 %, lower than the absorption factor.

The earth is covered with atmosphere above water and land. The up to 30 km thick atmosphere (depending on the cut off air density used to define non uniform thickness, less than 0.5 % of the radius) with lower temperature near the top cause the effective radiation temperature lower than water and land surface temperature. Understanding the earth temperature control factors and the equilibrium condition must be the foundation for understanding any deviation trend that may exist.

Some climate scientist also mention the lack of connection between most climate research publications to the well known scientific knowledge. Without the effective connection, climate scientist knowledge cannot even be transmitted to other scientists, let alone the general public. The best way to make more scientist to see the validity of global warming predictions is to make the prediction based on more well known scientific facts, not just scientific facts climate scientist just discovered and some other climate scientist may have questions. The general public may not care or able to correctly know how to understand global warming, but climate scientist (or climate scientist community) need to try harder to educate all.


What actions do you propose?

I am writing this contest entry to point out the importance of sound reasoning base on solid scientific knowledge.

I do some research after reading the Wikipedia global warming article. The 33 C supposed basic equilibrium temperature deviation based on actual 70 % absorption coefficient and 100 % radiation efficiency is in my mind not justified.


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